Learning to Average Predictively Over Good and Bad: Comment on: Using Stacking to Average Bayesian Predictive Distributions
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Using stacking to average Bayesian predictive distributions Using stacking to average Bayesian predictive distributions
Abstract The widely recommended procedure of Bayesian model averaging is flawed in the M-open setting in which the true data-generating process is not one of the candidate models being fit. We take the idea of stacking from the point estimation literature and generalize to the combination of predictive distributions, extending the utility function to any proper scoring rule, using Pareto smooth...
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Abstract. Bayesian model averaging is flawed in the M-open setting in which the true data-generating process is not one of the candidate models being fit. We take the idea of stacking from the point estimation literature and generalize to the combination of predictive distributions. We extend the utility function to any proper scoring rule and use Pareto smoothed importance sampling to efficien...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal
سال: 2018
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3228625